These population projections comprise three series (high, medium and low) that reflect the likely range of population futures for South Australia and regions.
The medium series is the likely outcome at the time of publication, while the high and low series enable management of risks if a population trend that is higher or lower than the medium series emerges.
The projections are based on the final results from the 2016 Census of Population and Housing and supersede those published in 2015. The South Australian Cabinet endorsed the projections for use by state agencies on 17 June 2019.
The report on Population projections for South Australia and statistical divisions 2016-2041 (PDF, 3.0 MB) summarises the assumptions used to develop the projections and outlines the demographic context of the projection outcomes and their demographic significance.
The following three visualisations summarise projected population and demographic change for South Australia and regions. You can also view these visualisations in a new window.
Explanatory notes about using population projections
Users of these projections should carefully read these explanatory notes before downloading the projections.
Population projections are not forecasts of the future. They are estimates of the future size, age structure and geographic distribution of populations based on particular assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration.